US-China Relations: Navigating Tensions and Tactical Adjustments
The recent Biden-Xi meeting during the APEC summit in San Francisco has left observers questioning the achievement of any path-breaking results in stabilizing US-China relations. Despite verbal exchanges, the deep-rooted disparities on political, economic, technological, and strategic fronts persist, posing challenges that verbal positions alone cannot resolve.
I. Stability Beyond Verbal Positions
Policy Changes Needed
True stability requires tangible policy changes. China's stance on sovereignty issues and its ambitious Belt and Road initiative remain unchanged, indicating the need for substantial shifts in approach for a lasting impact.
II. The Unyielding Dynamics
China's Unwavering Ambitions
China's expansionist plans, from naval growth to nuclear arsenal development, underscore its commitment to becoming a formidable global rival. Understanding these ambitions is crucial in navigating the complexities of the US-China relationship.
US Countermeasures
In response, the US remains committed to its strategy of strengthening alliances, arming Taiwan, and leveraging alliances like the Quad and Aukus to deter China. Denying China access to advanced technologies and building domestic capabilities are integral components of this approach.
III. Global Instabilities
External Factors
Global instabilities, such as the Ukraine conflict, US sanctions on Russia, and the growing ties between Russia and China, add additional layers of complexity to US-China ties. Geopolitical challenges, particularly in West Asia, further strain the relationship.
IV. Tactical Adjustments
Biden-Xi Meeting Purpose
The recent meeting aimed at tactical adjustments. Resuming military contacts and climate change talks showcased attempts to prevent military conflicts and engage China on critical global issues.
Limited Results
The read-out of the meeting suggests limited results. Biden's acknowledgment of competition with China and his emphasis on responsible management highlight the nuanced approach the US seeks without a fundamental re-set of bilateral ties.
V. Xi's Firm Stand
Non-Negotiable Issues
Xi's firm stand on Taiwan as non-negotiable and China's right to handle its internal affairs independently sets the tone for China's unwillingness to compromise on key issues.
Mutual Understanding
Xi calls for mutual understanding of each other's 'bottom lines' and urges the US not to interfere in China's internal affairs. The fundamental question of whether the US and China are rivals or partners remains a core challenge.
VI. Coexistence Challenges
Rivals or Partners
Biden's labeling of Xi as a dictator and China's ability to switch between diplomatic approaches highlight the challenge of determining whether the US and China can coexist as rivals or partners.
China's Strategy
China's diplomatic tactics, from wolf warrior diplomacy to projecting reasonableness, aim to position itself as a positive global citizen unfairly targeted by the US. The US must navigate these shifts coherently.
In the intricate dance of US-China relations, the Biden-Xi meeting reflects the complexities and challenges that persist. As both nations make tactical adjustments, the fundamental question of coexistence looms, demanding strategic coherence from the US in the face of China's evolving strategies.
